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Optimism/Desirability Bias. Gamblers also exhibit optimism, overestimating the probability that desired activities will occur. supporters of NFL underdog groups, for instance, will choose to wager on their own teams at even odds than to bet on the favorite, whether or not the guess is $five or $50.[fifty eight]

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). The numerator equates to the quantity of approaches to choose the profitable quantities multiplied by the quantity of methods to pick out the losing quantities.